********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 number of points = 7433 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203 RA = 39.5617, Dec = 15.5175 tmin = 810345601, tmax = 810604801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='37423524', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-09 02:09:38.393200', time_epoch_executed='1788944978.39' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2203' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37423524 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=810345601.0 && nMetStart<810604801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=810345601.0 && nMetStart<810604801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=810345601.0 && nMetStart<810604801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits ra=39.5617 dec=15.5175 rad=12.0 tmin=810345601.0 tmax=810604801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.53 user 1.94 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.06 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1043 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" o ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 58.67 user 56.97 sys 0.94 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423237/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423237/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423237/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423237/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423237/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423237/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423237/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423237/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423237/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423224/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 63.12 user 60.96 sys 1.04 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423224/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423224/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423224/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423224/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423224/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423224/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423224/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423224/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423224/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423224/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 8.62 user 7.83 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 69.04 user 64.35 sys 3.94 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 158 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0238.2+1531 @ 39.5617 15.5175 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/cmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.91 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423305/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 50.26 user 48.97 sys 0.55 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423305/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423305/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423305/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423305/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423305/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423305/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423305/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423305/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423305/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423305/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). 000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 8.63 user 7.81 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 69.97 user 65.10 sys 4.01 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 158 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0238.2+1531 @ 39.5617 15.5175 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/cmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.99 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.09 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GADone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423191/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423191/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:11:59.499523', job_id='37423191', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945119.5', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:11:59 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423254/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423178/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423254/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:12:09.622143', job_id='37423254', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945129.62', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:12:09 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423348/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 50.92 user 49.69 sys 0.51 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423348/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423348/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423348/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423348/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423348/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423348/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423348/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423348/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423348/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423348/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423178/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:12:12.655803', job_id='37423178', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945132.66', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:12:13 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423204/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423326/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 57.29 user 55.96 sys 0.57 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423326/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423326/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423326/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423326/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423326/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423326/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423326/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423326/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423326/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423326/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423269/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423204/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:12:23.063283', job_id='37423204', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945143.06', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:12:23 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423213/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423269/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:12:24.896769', job_id='37423269', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945144.9', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:12:25 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423213/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:12:27.524548', job_id='37423213', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945147.52', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:12:27 PDT 2026 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 63.43 user 61.41 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423290/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423290/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423290/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423290/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423290/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423290/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423290/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423290/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423315/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 64.34 user 62.24 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423315/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423315/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423315/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423315/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423315/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423315/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423315/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423315/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423315/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423315/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 8.95 user 8.20 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 72.58 user 67.50 sys 4.11 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 158 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0238.2+1531 @ 39.5617 15.5175 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/cmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.95 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GA000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 8.94 user 8.13 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 72.43 user 67.34 sys 4.08 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 158 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0238.2+1531 @ 39.5617 15.5175 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/cmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.78 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.75 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GA000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423329/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 61.24 user 59.38 sys 0.96 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423329/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423329/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423329/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423329/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423329/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423329/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423329/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423329/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423329/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423329/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423237/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 number of points = 7433 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203 RA = 39.5617, Dec = 15.5175 tmin = 810345601, tmax = 810604801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='37423654', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-09 02:11:30.083864', time_epoch_executed='1788945090.08' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2203' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37423654 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=810345601.0 && nMetStart<810604801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=810345601.0 && nMetStart<810604801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=810345601.0 && nMetStart<810604801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits ra=39.5617 dec=15.5175 rad=12.0 tmin=810345601.0 tmax=810604801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.54 user 1.97 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.71 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1043 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423305/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423237/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:13:04.551090', job_id='37423237', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945184.55', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:13:04 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423305/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:13:07.918898', job_id='37423305', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945187.92', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:13:08 PDT 2026 000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423224/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423224/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:13:12.404830', job_id='37423224', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945192.4', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:13:12 PDT 2026 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 8.97 user 8.27 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 72.06 user 66.30 sys 4.24 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 158 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0238.2+1531 @ 39.5617 15.5175 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/cmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.84 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GA ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423359/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 64.99 user 62.95 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423359/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423359/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423359/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423359/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423359/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423359/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423359/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423359/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423359/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423359/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 8.48 user 7.81 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 70.59 user 65.69 sys 3.95 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 158 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0238.2+1531 @ 39.5617 15.5175 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/cmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.75 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GA000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 61.07 user 59.14 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423387/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423387/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423387/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423387/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423348/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423348/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:13:54.634650', job_id='37423348', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945234.63', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:13:54 PDT 2026 000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 60.62 user 58.64 sys 0.96 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423382/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423382/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423382/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423382/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423326/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423326/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:14:10.432011', job_id='37423326', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945250.43', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:14:10 PDT 2026 000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423290/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423290/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:14:22.699995', job_id='37423290', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945262.7', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:14:23 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423315/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423315/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:14:30.711167', job_id='37423315', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945270.71', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:14:31 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423329/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423329/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:14:47.228296', job_id='37423329', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945287.23', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:14:47 PDT 2026 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 60.33 user 58.79 sys 0.67 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423460/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423460/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423460/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423460/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 60.07 user 58.65 sys 0.62 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423475/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423475/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423475/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423475/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423359/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory 000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423359/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:15:21.555306', job_id='37423359', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945321.56', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:15:21 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423387/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 8.97 user 8.19 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits .....................! real 72.46 user 67.40 sys 4.22 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 158 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0238.2+1531 @ 39.5617 15.5175 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/cmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=39.5617 yref=15.5175 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.79 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GA ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 60.44 user 58.39 sys 1.16 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423505/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423505/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423505/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423505/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423387/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:15:33.871768', job_id='37423387', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945333.87', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:15:34 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423382/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423382/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:15:47.186778', job_id='37423382', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945347.19', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:15:47 PDT 2026 000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 60.21 user 58.30 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423524/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423460/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423460/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:16:55.520223', job_id='37423460', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945415.52', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:16:55 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423475/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423475/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:16:59.420469', job_id='37423475', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945419.42', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:16:59 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423505/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423505/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:17:23.950411', job_id='37423505', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945443.95', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:17:24 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423524/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:17:40.310187', job_id='37423524', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945460.31', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:17:40 PDT 2026 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits.....................! real 61.35 user 59.56 sys 0.67 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/37423654/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0238.2+1531' 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 1.956e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ft2_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/expmap_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/ltcube_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/Model_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.8510445 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7943378 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 5.1814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 4.9403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .53352E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .69820E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .81570E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 11.406 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .66280E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 77.559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.8119 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .30769E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15515E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.8779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .69618E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 46.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .45461E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16949E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 10.382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 12.876 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .10660E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .30794E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 3.9681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .45579E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.5219 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 2.0743 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .24242E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.3393 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .87136 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11323.79 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 204 CALLS 2242 TOTAL EDM= .41E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.6862 .20779E-07 -.89718E-04 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8397 .44406E-07 -.62556E-05 3 norm 1.4777 4.0271 -.82196E-07 -.18049E-03 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.7826 .26929E-06 .24978E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 4.2407 -.28356E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .23515E-05 21.911 -.48092E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 29.697 .50338E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 11.519 4.7278 .60905E-07 -.10961E-01 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 15.295 -.32241E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.006 .29791E-07 .17743E-01 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.8966 .22795E-07 -.67662E-05 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 12.130 -.69904E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0455 .32571E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 1.8786 .58466 -.77093E-08 .74767E-04 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.136 -.23081E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 47.505 4.4261 .61916E-07 -.14138E-02 17 norm .10351E-05 7.0495 -.28414E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 8.6957 .18165E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 9.9745 2.6923 .30568E-07 -.38211E-02 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4213 -.11640E-07 -.13888E-02 21 Prefactor 12.912 1.0821 .91865E-08 .20631E-02 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1091 .49287E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9176 .24544E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 3.9533 3.8136 .20691E-06 .31799E-03 25 norm .0000 2.6692 .39072E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5406 -.12369E-06 -.28982E-03 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.4779 -.19420E-06 -.18741E-03 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1412 -.16912E-06** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .21609 -.13650E-05 -.17463E-04 30 Prefactor .87170 .82792E-01 -.10185E-05 -.44724E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.44079 Prefactor = 5.18279 norm = 1.47775 Prefactor = 4.89653 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.35151e-06 Prefactor = 2.52359e-06 Prefactor = 11.5194 Prefactor = 9.39804e-08 Prefactor = 75.7294 Prefactor = 1.78838 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 1.8786 Prefactor = 1.21958e-07 Prefactor = 47.5046 norm = 1.03512e-06 Prefactor = 3.89244e-07 Prefactor = 9.97454 Prefactor = 11.8353 Prefactor = 12.9121 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 3.95325 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.5212 Prefactor = 2.12127 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.33873 Prefactor = 0.871704 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.79 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 648 CALLS 2890 TOTAL EDM= .15E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.4408 5.7125 .48113E-03 -1.5666 2 Prefactor 5.1828 2.8387 .44140E-03 -1.5662 3 norm 1.4777 4.0611 .87105E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor 4.8965 5.8012 .45225E-03 -1.5664 5 Prefactor .0000 4.0825 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .23515E-05 33.255 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .25236E-05 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 11.519 34.293 .29639E-03 -1.5640 9 Prefactor .93980E-07 22.899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 75.729 40.725 .11356E-03 -1.5534 11 Prefactor 1.7884 6.9936 .77581E-03 -1.5681 12 Prefactor .23537E-07 24.705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38858E-09 8.0424 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.8786 .59192 .75946E-03 -1.5681 15 Prefactor .12196E-06 12.643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 47.505 23.168 .14625E-03 -1.5570 17 norm .10351E-05 11.124 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .38924E-06 10.206 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 9.9745 32.621 .31071E-03 -1.5645 20 Prefactor 11.835 8.4356 .29115E-03 -1.5639 21 Prefactor 12.912 15.899 .27890E-03 -1.5636 22 norm .55511E-10 3.1056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .11102E-09 3.9088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 3.9533 3.8219 .50611E-03 -1.5668 25 norm .0000 2.6655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.5212 2.5673 .86561E-03 -1.5683 27 Prefactor 2.1213 5.5000 .71688E-03 -1.5679 28 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.1360 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.3387 .20244 .82047E-01 -.82417 30 Prefactor .87170 .73707E-01 .44639E-01 -.97137 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.47942e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.71255 2 2.83866 3 4.06111 4 5.80122 5 7.91713e-06 6 0.0176863 7 0.0201588 8 34.2939 9 0.00293395 10 40.7254 11 6.99361 12 0.0015249 13 0.000110492 14 0.591919 15 0.0024835 16 23.1678 17 0.00678685 18 0.00398622 19 32.622 20 8.43563 21 15.8986 22 2.69751e-05 23 3.60913e-05 24 3.82187 25 1.65339e-05 26 2.56734 27 5.50006 28 6.80869e-05 29 0.20256 30 0.0737155 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11323.7922308 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 3.886e-10 1.105e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.717e-01 7.372e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.339e+00 2.026e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.52336562122e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00736202460651 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/likelihoodResults_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11323.8541174 delta logL = -0.0618866034256 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.7922323 delta logL = -1.49680454342e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .23523E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .89500 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87170 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11323.55 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 146 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .60E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .77785E-02 .79667E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 6.5408 2.0532 .13808 .17366E-03 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .29131E-01 .82987E-01 -.41024E-03 4 Prefactor .87999 .11599E-01 .44643E-01 -.56718E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000490992 Index = 6.54084 Normalizat = 1.30189 Prefactor = 0.879988 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11323.55 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .18E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49099E-03 .58422E-01 .34389E-06 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 6.5408 8.2554 .87017E-02 .31327 3 Normalizat 1.3019 .15791 .36740E-03 -.83510 4 Prefactor .87999 .62070E-01 .17318E-03 -.96844 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.84946e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0107116 2 8.43973 3 0.157965 4 0.0620751 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 11323.5494955 delta logL = 0.242735340331 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0238.2+1531 Spectrum: PowerLaw 250 Prefactor: 4.910e-04 1.071e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 251 Index: 6.541e+00 8.440e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 252 Scale: 1.467e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 8.800e-01 6.208e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.302e+00 1.580e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 39.562 15.518 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/37423654/cmap_HighResolution_810345601_810604801_4FGL_J0238.2+1531_daily_bin2203.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.52e-08', time_completed='2026-09-09 02:19:41.194245', job_id='37423654', GAL2='0.88', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.30', EG='1.34', time_epoch_completed='1788945581.19', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.87', dlogl='2.43e-01', ts2='0.51', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.41' WHERE bin_id='2203' AND source_name='4FGL J0238.2+1531' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Sep 9 02:19:41 PDT 2026