/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17186 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906 RA = 31.2182, Dec = 15.2326 tmin = 786931201, tmax = 787536001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='17372474', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-12-16 01:00:45.889836', time_epoch_executed='1765875645.89' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0204.8+1513' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='906' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/17372474 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=786931201.0 && nMetStart<787536001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=786931201.0 && nMetStart<787536001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=786931201.0 && nMetStart<787536001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits ra=31.2182 dec=15.2326 rad=12.0 tmin=786931201.0 tmax=787536001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.38 user 4.48 sys 0.24 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.18 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1556 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ltcube_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits .....................! real 16.31 user 15.23 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ltcube_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/expmap_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ltcube_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits .....................! real 61.78 user 57.08 sys 3.52 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0204.8+1513 @ 31.2182 15.2326 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/cmap_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=31.2182 yref=15.2326 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.06 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/cmap_HighResolution_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=31.2182 yref=15.2326 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.12 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/Model_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits.....................! real 67.94 user 65.51 sys 1.30 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/expmap_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ltcube_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/17372474/Model_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0204.8+1513' 4FGL J0204.8+1513 Spectrum: PowerLaw 231 Prefactor: 1.139e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 Index: 2.315e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 233 Scale: 9.796e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ft2_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/expmap_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/ltcube_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/Model_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16836.5320834 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16836.5051414 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 17.358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.190 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .72326E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.3223 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.2872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 4.4474 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .27756E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 3.5943 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 36.044 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .45939E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 32.333 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10060E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .98255E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .55900E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 1.5050 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .16877E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .16704 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .11445E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' 16.202 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .76047 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 40.634 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .15968E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' .92726 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' 1.0146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5330E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 16836.50 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 198 CALLS 2056 TOTAL EDM= .72E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 17.352 2.0965 -.71448E-09 -.70542E-02 2 Prefactor 12.185 6.6006 .67701E-07 .49586E-03 3 norm .55511E-10 11.493 -.46730E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.3202 2.9318 -.25590E-06 -.29232E-04 5 Prefactor 2.2868 1.5893 .46803E-07 -.63087E-03 6 norm 4.4463 2.8312 .61614E-07 -.43801E-03 7 Prefactor .0000 .80984 -.14129E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 3.5945 1.6799 .20705E-07 -.33484E-04 9 norm 36.927 32.065 -.10846E-05 .11043E-01 10 Prefactor .0000 5.5106 .35092E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 32.415 5.7618 -.60258E-08 .42903E-01 12 Prefactor .0000 11.897 .28598E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 7.4000 .56495E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .49405E-08 660.99 -.41465E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 1.4730 13.274 .60538E-06 .20639E-03 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 16.196 -.62680E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .16897 .30758 .80942E-08** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .44409E-09 19.778 -.50482E-06** at limit ** 19 norm 16.114 9.6853 .46427E-06 .13713E-02 20 Prefactor .56152 11.571 .10238E-05 .56424E-02 21 Prefactor 41.087 28.718 -.51949E-06 -.11232E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 6.8579 -.24693E-06** at limit ** 23 Normalizat .92733 .14721 .17375E-05 .32653E-04 24 Prefactor 1.0146 .81720E-01 .13232E-05 .56949E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 17.3522 Prefactor = 12.1851 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 2.32023 Prefactor = 2.28678 norm = 4.44625 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.59447 norm = 36.927 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 32.4154 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 4.94049e-09 Prefactor = 1.47304 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 norm = 0.168966 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 norm = 16.1136 Prefactor = 0.561516 Prefactor = 41.0867 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 0.927332 Prefactor = 1.01458 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16836.50 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 457 CALLS 2513 TOTAL EDM= .51E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 17.352 16.693 .24012E-03 -1.5625 2 Prefactor 12.185 6.6121 .28666E-03 -1.5638 3 norm .55511E-10 11.569 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.3202 2.9456 .67281E-03 -1.5677 5 Prefactor 2.2868 1.5966 .67851E-03 -1.5678 6 norm 4.4463 2.8404 .47725E-03 -1.5666 7 Prefactor .0000 .81002 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 3.5945 1.6843 .53275E-03 -1.5670 9 norm 36.927 34.805 .16658E-03 -1.5586 10 Prefactor .0000 5.5156 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 32.415 24.256 .17589E-03 -1.5594 12 Prefactor .0000 12.040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 7.4094 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .49405E-08 3.9685 .60761E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 1.4730 13.184 .87210E-03 -1.5684 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 16.093 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .16897 .29028 .12394E-02 -1.5716 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .44409E-09 19.927 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm 16.114 9.8002 .24855E-03 -1.5628 20 Prefactor .56152 62.941 .55929E-03 -1.5693 21 Prefactor 41.087 30.204 .15689E-03 -1.5580 22 Prefactor .0000 6.8774 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Normalizat .92733 .13045 .74598E-01 -.95506 24 Prefactor 1.0146 .71212E-01 .42723E-01 -.92245 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.09727e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.6927 2 6.61211 3 3.62642e-05 4 2.9456 5 1.59657 6 2.84044 7 8.1529e-07 8 1.68427 9 34.8053 10 6.43135e-06 11 24.2559 12 3.05212e-05 13 2.56159e-05 14 0.00028009 15 8.81369 16 0.00015078 17 0.290282 18 0.000193378 19 9.80021 20 11.89 21 30.204 22 1.55829e-05 23 0.13049 24 0.0712186 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16836.5043288 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0204.8+1513 Spectrum: PowerLaw 231 Prefactor: 2.287e+00 1.597e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 Index: 2.315e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 233 Scale: 9.796e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 530 Prefactor: 1.015e+00 7.122e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 531 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 532 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 529 Normalization: 9.273e-01 1.305e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.48 Ra Dec: 31.218 15.233 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.31 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.42e-08 +/- 2.39e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.27e-05 +/- 8.85e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.48 Ra Dec: 31.218 15.233 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.38905634774e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00644474176801 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/likelihoodResults_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 16835.9963428 delta logL = 0.507986078061 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 16835.9854205 delta logL = 0.518908351623 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.2663 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.0334 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .88729 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0282 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5330E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 16835.99 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .11E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.2659 8.6321 .98938E-03 .18787E-01 2 Index 3.0336 2.4674 .12499 .38236E-03 3 Normalizat .88728 .39258E-01 .76073E-01 .62634E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0282 .20842E-01 .41405E-01 -.39391E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.26589 Index = 3.03365 Normalizat = 0.887283 Prefactor = 1.0282 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16835.99 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .31E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.2659 3.3027 .77064E-05 -1.5685 2 Index 3.0336 1.6418 .74196E-02 -.40419 3 Normalizat .88728 .15914 .33668E-03 -.96908 4 Prefactor 1.0282 .85520E-01 .17640E-03 -.91795 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.13158e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.30273 2 1.67884 3 0.159219 4 0.085531 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 16835.9854203 delta logL = 0.518908547543 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0204.8+1513 Spectrum: PowerLaw 231 Prefactor: 1.266e+00 3.303e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 232 Index: 3.034e+00 1.679e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 233 Scale: 9.796e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 530 Prefactor: 1.028e+00 8.553e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 531 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 532 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 529 Normalization: 8.873e-01 1.592e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 4.65 Ra Dec: 31.218 15.233 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.03 +/- 1.68 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.33e-08 +/- 4.55e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.24e-05 +/- 8.06e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/17372474/cmap_HighResolution_786931201_787536001_4FGL_J0204.8+1513_weekly_bin906.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.44e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.42e-08', energy_flux2='1.24e-05', photon_flux_error='2.39e-08', dlogl='5.19e-01', energy_flux='1.27e-05', photon_flux2='6.33e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2025-12-16 01:13:35.190391', photon_index_error2='1.68', photon_index2='3.03', ts='3.48', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.01', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.39e-08', energy_flux_error2='8.06e-06', EG='0.93', time_epoch_completed='1765876415.19', return_code='0', job_id='17372474', GAL2='1.03', EG2='0.89', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='8.85e-06', photon_flux_error2='4.55e-08', ts2='4.65', photon_index='2.31' WHERE bin_id='906' AND source_name='4FGL J0204.8+1513' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Dec 16 01:13:35 PST 2025