Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312039/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312039/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:27:03.051277', job_id='40312039', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534423.05', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:27:03 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312043/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312043/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:27:06.089510', job_id='40312043', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534426.09', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:27:06 PDT 2026 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 7.52 user 7.10 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 62.43 user 58.49 sys 3.51 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 174 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0153.9+0823 @ 28.4972 8.3931 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.51 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.45 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312025/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 16.87 user 15.24 sys 1.11 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312025/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312025/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312025/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312025/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312025/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312025/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312025/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312025/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312025/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312025/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312027/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 16.79 user 15.24 sys 1.11 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312027/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312027/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312027/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312027/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312027/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312027/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312027/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312027/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312027/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312027/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312025/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312027/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312025/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:27:30.765595', job_id='40312025', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534450.77', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:27:30 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312027/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:27:30.885156', job_id='40312027', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534450.89', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:27:31 PDT 2026 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.19 user 8.72 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 72.75 user 67.87 sys 4.20 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 174 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0153.9+0823 @ 28.4972 8.3931 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.71 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.55 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.22 user 8.73 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 76.86 user 71.87 sys 4.19 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 174 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0153.9+0823 @ 28.4972 8.3931 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.59 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 13.50 user 12.33 sys 0.87 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312134/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312134/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312134/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312134/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 number of points = 7568 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213 RA = 28.4972, Dec = 8.3931 tmin = 812937601, tmax = 813196801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40312214', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-09 01:27:08.405957', time_epoch_executed='1791534428.41' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2213' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40312214 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits ra=28.4972 dec=8.3931 rad=12.0 tmin=812937601.0 tmax=813196801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.49 user 2.17 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.40 user 0.18 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 207 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312134/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312134/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:27:54.649872', job_id='40312134', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534474.65', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:27:54 PDT 2026 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 7.28 user 6.89 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 59.70 user 55.82 sys 3.45 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 174 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0153.9+0823 @ 28.4972 8.3931 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.47 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.45 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 16.61 user 14.91 sys 1.14 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312076/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312076/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312076/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312076/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 17.32 user 15.51 sys 1.33 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312072/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312072/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312072/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312072/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 7.93 user 7.52 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 64.31 user 60.15 sys 3.71 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 174 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0153.9+0823 @ 28.4972 8.3931 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.47 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.49 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312076/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312076/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:28:27.020181', job_id='40312076', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534507.02', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:28:27 PDT 2026 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 8.18 user 7.77 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 68.46 user 64.03 sys 3.97 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 174 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0153.9+0823 @ 28.4972 8.3931 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.49 user 0.23 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.47 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312072/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312072/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:28:32.459716', job_id='40312072', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534512.46', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:28:32 PDT 2026 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.07 user 8.52 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 74.08 user 69.49 sys 3.98 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 174 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0153.9+0823 @ 28.4972 8.3931 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.61 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.57 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.57 user 9.10 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 76.62 user 71.77 sys 4.23 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 174 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0153.9+0823 @ 28.4972 8.3931 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.51 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.58 user 9.01 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 76.97 user 71.93 sys 4.39 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 174 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0153.9+0823 @ 28.4972 8.3931 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.52 user 0.27 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.58 user 0.26 sys 0.11 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 13.17 user 12.09 sys 0.81 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312177/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312177/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312177/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312177/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 14.19 user 13.03 sys 0.88 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312167/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312167/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312167/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312167/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312177/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312177/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:28:56.973814', job_id='40312177', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534536.97', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:28:57 PDT 2026 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 14.78 user 13.50 sys 0.96 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312181/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312181/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312181/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312181/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312167/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312167/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:29:04.029459', job_id='40312167', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534544.03', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:29:04 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312181/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312181/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:29:11.717789', job_id='40312181', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534551.72', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:29:11 PDT 2026 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 16.50 user 14.95 sys 1.10 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312161/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312161/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312161/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312161/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 7.78 user 7.37 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 64.70 user 60.42 sys 3.79 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 174 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0153.9+0823 @ 28.4972 8.3931 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.47 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=28.4972 yref=8.3931 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.47 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 16.56 user 15.24 sys 0.93 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312158/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312158/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312158/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312158/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 17.19 user 15.21 sys 1.42 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312149/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312149/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312149/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312149/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312161/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312161/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:29:29.078339', job_id='40312161', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534569.08', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:29:29 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312158/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312149/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312158/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:29:34.513152', job_id='40312158', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534574.51', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:29:34 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312149/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:29:34.609594', job_id='40312149', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534574.61', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:29:34 PDT 2026 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 14.25 user 12.81 sys 1.10 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40312214/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0153.9+0823' 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 7.272e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ft2_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/Model_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35227342 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35857057 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .44954E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 93.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .31774E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .21422E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70860E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.5138 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .45358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .14697E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.8382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .30312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .39114E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .92947E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .55008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .86517 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.0934 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 109 CALLS 981 TOTAL EDM= .87E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 5.8358 -.18489E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 93.247 2.8219 .40776E-07 .28531 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7907 -.10620E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .81773E-06 5.6584 -.35052E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6581 .12110E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0566 .22871E-07 .36056E-05 7 norm .48994 41.184 .11410E-05 -.65129E-02 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1897 -.77677E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 1.8380 1.3449 .55999E-07 -.20075E-03 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 2.1212 -.10786E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 131.22 .39429E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.7106 -.24158E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.04 -.16188E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat .86586 .34353 .10387E-05 -.60500E-05 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .24385 -.37835E-05 -.83755E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.54896e-07 Prefactor = 93.2472 Prefactor = 0 norm = 8.17735e-07 Prefactor = 8.38218e-09 Prefactor = 2.50975 norm = 0.489939 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.83801 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 Prefactor = 6.85285e-07 Prefactor = 1.29341e-08 Prefactor = 2.57017e-08 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 208 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .75490E-06 10.288 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 93.247 106.02 .10347E-03 -1.5515 3 Prefactor .0000 3.7992 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .81773E-06 10.679 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83822E-08 7.6722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 2.5097 4.0870 .64415E-03 -1.5676 7 norm .48994 12.344 .53589E-02 -1.5694 8 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1770 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 1.8380 1.3445 .76917E-03 -1.5681 10 Prefactor .14433E-08 47.134 .10170E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .68529E-06 130.93 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .12934E-07 7.9955 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .25702E-07 100.15 .73824E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat .86586 .30245 .66580E-01 -.97670 15 Prefactor 1.0935 .21268 .37843E-01 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.9692e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00557348 2 106.025 3 1.03538e-05 4 0.0059103 5 0.000507301 6 4.08701 7 4.91851 8 2.71285e-05 9 1.34447 10 0.000523447 11 0.0189446 12 0.000643056 13 0.00321025 14 0.303045 15 0.212845 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2271.35173371 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 8.177e-07 5.910e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 1.822e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 2.128e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 3.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.69491001319e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 7.70446141543e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35196785 delta logL = -0.000234139051827 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2271.3517337 delta logL = 1.1140400602e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .15710E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .85659 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .86583 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5490E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 41 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.3482 1.5187 .54613E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 .12122E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 .27851E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.34818 Normalizat = 0.865856 Prefactor = 1.09346 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 2271.352 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 7 CALLS 249 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 7.8528 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 1.1493 1.5187 .54613E-04 -.60765E-01 3 Normalizat .86586 1.2026 .38092E-05 -.97670 4 Prefactor 1.0935 1.1529 .36451E-05 -.89676 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.05253e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.1716e-06 2 1.63267 3 1.24319 4 1.18085 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 2271.35173367 delta logL = 3.82833604817e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0153.9+0823 Spectrum: LogParabola 236 norm: 0.000e+00 5.172e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 237 alpha: 2.348e+00 1.633e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 238 beta: 7.988e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 239 Eb: 1.487e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 546 Prefactor: 1.093e+00 1.181e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 547 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 548 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 545 Normalization: 8.659e-01 1.243e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 28.497 8.393 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40312214/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J0153.9+0823_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.70e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.69e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 01:30:02.383995', job_id='40312214', GAL2='1.09', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.87', EG='0.87', time_epoch_completed='1791534602.38', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.83e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.82' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J0153.9+0823' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 01:30:02 PDT 2026