********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8016.208 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 269 CALLS 1458 TOTAL EDM= .11E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.382 39.615 .16667E-03 -1.5587 2 norm 1.1209 1.8904 .30096E-02 -1.5687 3 norm 1.5104 8.8528 .85620E-03 -1.5683 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.057 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 6.5369 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.1695 .70115 .10607E-02 -1.5686 7 norm .55511E-10 .44330 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 26.080 25.938 .19588E-03 -1.5606 9 Prefactor 13.351 39.889 .27104E-03 -1.5635 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.6243 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 6.5272 13.100 .39326E-03 -1.5657 12 Prefactor .17653E-07 161.73 .10478E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .62448 .52825 .67088E-04 -1.5692 14 Prefactor .66613E-09 4.9610 .11563E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 3.8622 6.3413 .50536E-03 -1.5669 16 Normalizat 1.0870 .20527 .72241E-01 -.90169 17 Prefactor 1.1150 .12782 .37057E-01 -.88990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.11738e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 39.6152 2 1.89038 3 7.31334 4 3.6381e-05 5 1.86029e-05 6 0.701153 7 7.84186e-06 8 25.9378 9 39.8893 10 3.13705e-05 11 13.1003 12 0.00337911 13 0.528246 14 0.000115171 15 6.34136 16 0.205416 17 0.127852 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8016.20754891 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0115.8+2519 Spectrum: PowerLaw 252 Prefactor: 1.665e-10 3.137e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 253 Index: 1.918e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 254 Scale: 2.499e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 539 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 1.279e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 540 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 541 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 538 Normalization: 1.087e+00 2.054e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 18.954 25.332 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.41242664044e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00328620139732 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/38528577/likelihoodResults_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8016.20812284 delta logL = -0.000573925756726 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8016.20754892 delta logL = -1.03927959572e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .98255E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .66973 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0871 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1149 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5420E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8016.208 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .46E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .94386 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5255 1.7715 .91907E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0870 1.1651 -.14086E-05 -.44975E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1150 1.1395 -.11865E-05 -.76967E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.52551 Normalizat = 1.08704 Prefactor = 1.11495 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8016.208 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .46E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .94386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .71939 2.0211 .91907E-05 -.51772 3 Normalizat 1.0870 1.1651 -.14086E-05 -.90169 4 Prefactor 1.1150 1.1395 -.11865E-05 -.88990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.61957e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.05014e-06 2 1.82466 3 1.1945 4 1.16596 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 8016.20754891 delta logL = 6.0026650317e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0115.8+2519 Spectrum: PowerLaw 252 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.050e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 253 Index: 2.526e+00 1.825e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 254 Scale: 2.499e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 539 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 1.166e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 540 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 541 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 538 Normalization: 1.087e+00 1.194e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 18.954 25.332 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38528577/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.29e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.41e-08', time_completed='2026-09-18 01:46:55.579715', job_id='38528577', GAL2='1.11', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.09', EG='1.09', time_epoch_completed='1789721215.58', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.11', dlogl='6.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.92' WHERE bin_id='2206' AND source_name='4FGL J0115.8+2519' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Sep 18 01:46:55 PDT 2026 number of points = 7621 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206 RA = 18.9539, Dec = 25.3324 tmin = 811123201, tmax = 811382401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38528793', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-18 01:45:22.135629', time_epoch_executed='1789721122.14' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0115.8+2519' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2206' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38528793 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811382401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811382401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811382401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits ra=18.9539 dec=25.3324 rad=12.0 tmin=811123201.0 tmax=811382401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.86 user 2.05 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.61 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 706 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ounumber of points = 7621 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206 RA = 18.9539, Dec = 25.3324 tmin = 811123201, tmax = 811382401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38528871', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-18 01:46:38.050372', time_epoch_executed='1789721198.05' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0115.8+2519' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2206' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38528871 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811382401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811382401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811382401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits ra=18.9539 dec=25.3324 rad=12.0 tmin=811123201.0 tmax=811382401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.69 user 2.21 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.63 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 706 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits .....................! real 8.66 user 8.13 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits .....................! real 69.97 user 65.40 sys 4.05 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 170 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0115.8+2519 @ 18.9539 25.3324 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/cmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=18.9539 yref=25.3324 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.56 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=18.9539 yref=25.3324 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.58 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/Model_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALtfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits .....................! real 9.40 user 8.84 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits .....................! real 75.66 user 69.99 sys 4.49 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 170 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0115.8+2519 @ 18.9539 25.3324 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/cmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=18.9539 yref=25.3324 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.73 user 0.26 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=18.9539 yref=25.3324 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.27 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/Model_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits.....................! real 32.99 user 31.55 sys 0.82 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38528793/Model_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0115.8+2519' 4FGL J0115.8+2519 Spectrum: PowerLaw 252 Prefactor: 2.767e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 253 Index: 1.918e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 254 Scale: 2.499e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/Model_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8016.21272896 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8016.20993164 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' 1.1222 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5474 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .13119E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .40768E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 1.1701 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .16193E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 26.073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 13.631 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76772E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 6.5048 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .28127 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .62420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .20371E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.9794 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.0871 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.1146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5420E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8016.208 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 111 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .31E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.382 33.827 .72777E-06 .12005E-02 2 norm 1.1209 1.5780 .34659E-06 -.64815E-02 3 norm 1.5104 8.7633 -.12015E-05 .14187E-02 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.049 -.35650E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .0000 6.5391 -.26103E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 1.1695 .69559 -.97533E-07 .11225E-01 7 norm .55511E-10 .44574 .25968E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 26.080 1.3050 -.36711E-07 -.93415E-02 9 Prefactor 13.351 20.003 -.70336E-06 .24901E-02 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.6197 -.46983E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 6.5272 13.027 .40126E-06 -.49080E-03 12 Prefactor .17653E-07 165.31 -.48401E-05** at limit ** 13 norm .62448 .52768 -.22434E-09 -.82270E-04 14 Prefactor .66613E-09 28.347 .11026E-05** at limit ** 15 norm 3.8622 6.3005 .37788E-06 -.18169E-02 16 Normalizat 1.0870 .23915 .26114E-05 .54179E-04 17 Prefactor 1.1150 .15041 -.33870E-05 .16182E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.3823 norm = 1.12094 norm = 1.5104 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.16955 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 26.0804 Prefactor = 13.3505 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 6.52715 Prefactor = 1.76525e-08 norm = 0.62448 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 norm = 3.86223 Normalizat = 1.08704 Prefactor = 1.11495 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8016.208 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 269 CALLS 1458 TOTAL EDM= .11E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.382 39.615 .16667E-03 -1.5587 2 norm 1.1209 1.8904 .30096E-02 -1.5687 3 norm 1.5104 8.8528 .85620E-03 -1.5683 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.057 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 6.5369 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.1695 .70115 .10607E-02 -1.5686 7 norm .55511E-10 .44330 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 26.080 25.938 .19588E-03 -1.5606 9 Prefactor 13.351 39.889 .27104E-03 -1.5635 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.6243 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 6.5272 13.100 .39326E-03 -1.5657 12 Prefactor .17653E-07 161.73 .10478E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .62448 .52825 .67088E-04 -1.5692 14 Prefactor .66613E-09 4.9610 .11563E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 3.8622 6.3413 .50536E-03 -1.5669 16 Normalizat 1.0870 .20527 .72241E-01 -.90169 17 Prefactor 1.1150 .12782 .37057E-01 -.88990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.11738e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 39.6152 2 1.89038 3 7.31334 4 3.6381e-05 5 1.86029e-05 6 0.701153 7 7.84186e-06 8 25.9378 9 39.8893 10 3.13705e-05 11 13.1003 12 0.00337911 13 0.528246 14 0.000115171 15 6.34136 16 0.205416 17 0.127852 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8016.20754891 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0115.8+2519 Spectrum: PowerLaw 252 Prefactor: 1.665e-10 3.137e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 253 Index: 1.918e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 254 Scale: 2.499e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 539 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 1.279e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 540 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 541 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 538 Normalization: 1.087e+00 2.054e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 18.954 25.332 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.41242664044e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00328620139732 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/likelihoodResults_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8016.20812284 delta logL = -0.000573925756726 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8016.20754892 delta logL = -1.03927959572e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .98255E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .66973 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0871 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1149 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5420E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8016.208 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .46E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .94386 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5255 1.7715 .91907E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0870 1.1651 -.14086E-05 -.44975E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1150 1.1395 -.11865E-05 -.76967E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.52551 Normalizat = 1.08704 Prefactor = 1.11495 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8016.208 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .46E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .94386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .71939 2.0211 .91907E-05 -.51772 3 Normalizat 1.0870 1.1651 -.14086E-05 -.90169 4 Prefactor 1.1150 1.1395 -.11865E-05 -.88990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.61957e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.05014e-06 2 1.82466 3 1.1945 4 1.16596 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 8016.20754891 delta logL = 6.0026650317e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0115.8+2519 Spectrum: PowerLaw 252 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.050e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 253 Index: 2.526e+00 1.825e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 254 Scale: 2.499e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 539 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 1.166e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 540 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 541 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 538 Normalization: 1.087e+00 1.194e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 18.954 25.332 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38528793/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.29e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.41e-08', time_completed='2026-09-18 01:50:47.428164', job_id='38528793', GAL2='1.11', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.09', EG='1.09', time_epoch_completed='1789721447.43', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.11', dlogl='6.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.92' WHERE bin_id='2206' AND source_name='4FGL J0115.8+2519' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Sep 18 01:50:47 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits.....................! real 34.63 user 33.38 sys 0.64 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38528871/Model_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0115.8+2519' 4FGL J0115.8+2519 Spectrum: PowerLaw 252 Prefactor: 2.767e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 253 Index: 1.918e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 254 Scale: 2.499e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ft2_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/Model_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8016.21272896 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8016.20993164 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 36.006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' 1.1222 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5474 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .13119E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .40768E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' 1.1701 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .16193E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 26.073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 13.631 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .76772E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 6.5048 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .28127 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .62420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .20371E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 3.9794 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' 1.0871 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.1146 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5420E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8016.208 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 111 CALLS 1189 TOTAL EDM= .31E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 36.382 33.827 .72777E-06 .12005E-02 2 norm 1.1209 1.5780 .34659E-06 -.64815E-02 3 norm 1.5104 8.7633 -.12015E-05 .14187E-02 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.049 -.35650E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .0000 6.5391 -.26103E-06** at limit ** 6 norm 1.1695 .69559 -.97533E-07 .11225E-01 7 norm .55511E-10 .44574 .25968E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 26.080 1.3050 -.36711E-07 -.93415E-02 9 Prefactor 13.351 20.003 -.70336E-06 .24901E-02 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.6197 -.46983E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 6.5272 13.027 .40126E-06 -.49080E-03 12 Prefactor .17653E-07 165.31 -.48401E-05** at limit ** 13 norm .62448 .52768 -.22434E-09 -.82270E-04 14 Prefactor .66613E-09 28.347 .11026E-05** at limit ** 15 norm 3.8622 6.3005 .37788E-06 -.18169E-02 16 Normalizat 1.0870 .23915 .26114E-05 .54179E-04 17 Prefactor 1.1150 .15041 -.33870E-05 .16182E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 36.3823 norm = 1.12094 norm = 1.5104 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.16955 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 26.0804 Prefactor = 13.3505 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 6.52715 Prefactor = 1.76525e-08 norm = 0.62448 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 norm = 3.86223 Normalizat = 1.08704 Prefactor = 1.11495 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8016.208 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 269 CALLS 1458 TOTAL EDM= .11E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 36.382 39.615 .16667E-03 -1.5587 2 norm 1.1209 1.8904 .30096E-02 -1.5687 3 norm 1.5104 8.8528 .85620E-03 -1.5683 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.057 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 6.5369 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm 1.1695 .70115 .10607E-02 -1.5686 7 norm .55511E-10 .44330 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 26.080 25.938 .19588E-03 -1.5606 9 Prefactor 13.351 39.889 .27104E-03 -1.5635 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.6243 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 6.5272 13.100 .39326E-03 -1.5657 12 Prefactor .17653E-07 161.73 .10478E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .62448 .52825 .67088E-04 -1.5692 14 Prefactor .66613E-09 4.9610 .11563E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 3.8622 6.3413 .50536E-03 -1.5669 16 Normalizat 1.0870 .20527 .72241E-01 -.90169 17 Prefactor 1.1150 .12782 .37057E-01 -.88990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.11738e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 39.6152 2 1.89038 3 7.31334 4 3.6381e-05 5 1.86029e-05 6 0.701153 7 7.84186e-06 8 25.9378 9 39.8893 10 3.13705e-05 11 13.1003 12 0.00337911 13 0.528246 14 0.000115171 15 6.34136 16 0.205416 17 0.127852 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8016.20754891 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0115.8+2519 Spectrum: PowerLaw 252 Prefactor: 1.665e-10 3.137e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 253 Index: 1.918e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 254 Scale: 2.499e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 539 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 1.279e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 540 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 541 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 538 Normalization: 1.087e+00 2.054e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 18.954 25.332 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.41242664044e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00328620139732 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/likelihoodResults_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8016.20812284 delta logL = -0.000573925756726 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8016.20754892 delta logL = -1.03927959572e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .98255E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .66973 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0871 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1149 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5420E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8016.208 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 236 TOTAL EDM= .46E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .94386 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5255 1.7715 .91907E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0870 1.1651 -.14086E-05 -.44975E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1150 1.1395 -.11865E-05 -.76967E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.52551 Normalizat = 1.08704 Prefactor = 1.11495 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8016.208 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .46E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .94386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .71939 2.0211 .91907E-05 -.51772 3 Normalizat 1.0870 1.1651 -.14086E-05 -.90169 4 Prefactor 1.1150 1.1395 -.11865E-05 -.88990 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.61957e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.05014e-06 2 1.82466 3 1.1945 4 1.16596 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 8016.20754891 delta logL = 6.0026650317e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0115.8+2519 Spectrum: PowerLaw 252 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.050e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 253 Index: 2.526e+00 1.825e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 254 Scale: 2.499e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 539 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 1.166e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 540 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 541 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 538 Normalization: 1.087e+00 1.194e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 18.954 25.332 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38528871/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J0115.8+2519_daily_bin2206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.29e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.41e-08', time_completed='2026-09-18 01:51:44.743372', job_id='38528871', GAL2='1.11', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.09', EG='1.09', time_epoch_completed='1789721504.74', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.11', dlogl='6.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.92' WHERE bin_id='2206' AND source_name='4FGL J0115.8+2519' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Sep 18 01:51:44 PDT 2026