********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 251005.0 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 359 CALLS 1564 TOTAL EDM= .45E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .26336 .24855 .47089E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor .44887 .37637 .76634E-02 -1.5695 3 Prefactor .10936E-07 .94270 .10249E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 11.321 7.3879 .29734E-03 -1.5641 5 norm 2.4987 .96663 .64627E-03 -1.5676 6 Prefactor 3.6677 5.0383 .53495E-03 -1.5670 7 norm 1.9064 2.7166 .75098E-03 -1.5680 8 Prefactor 4.2384 2.4933 .48925E-03 -1.5667 9 norm 5.9965 1.3949 .40978E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 3.2623 3.3684 .56130E-03 -1.5672 11 norm 12.997 2.3251 .27754E-03 -1.5636 12 norm .96605 .64957 .42547E-03 -1.5688 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.2814 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.9279 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .98185 .56205 .43140E-03 -1.5688 16 norm .62151 .18165 .67328E-03 -1.5692 17 Prefactor .96743 .68438 .42606E-03 -1.5688 18 norm 4.3061 1.7461 .48524E-03 -1.5666 19 Normalizat 1.2156 .59855E-01 .13838 -.86121 20 Prefactor .96983 .10681E-01 .28205E-01 -.93742 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.54367e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.24855 2 0.37637 3 0.000203309 4 7.38794 5 0.966628 6 5.0383 7 2.7166 8 2.4933 9 1.39495 10 3.36844 11 2.32507 12 0.649568 13 1.86514e-05 14 2.74522e-05 15 0.562048 16 0.18165 17 0.684375 18 1.74609 19 0.0598579 20 0.010681 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 74358 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206 RA = 15.8787, Dec = 53.6262 tmin = 770947201, tmax = 773539201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='13800522', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-10-15 23:27:21.039115', time_epoch_executed='1760596041.04' WHERE source_name='4FGL J0103.5+5337' and cadence='monthly' and bin_id='206' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/13800522 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=770947201.0 && nMetStart<773539201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=770947201.0 && nMetStart<773539201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 458 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=770947201.0 && nMetStart<773539201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 458 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits ra=15.8787 dec=53.6262 rad=12.0 tmin=770947201.0 tmax=773539201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 23.22 user 22.25 sys 0.68 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.61 user 0.37 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 25861 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits .....................! real 79.81 user 78.79 sys 0.27 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/expmap_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits .....................! real 71.32 user 66.26 sys 4.10 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source HB 3 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source W 3 in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/W3.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source CTB 109 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FHES J2304.0+5406 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 200 point sources and 4 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J0103.5+5337 @ 15.8787 53.6262 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/cmap_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=15.8787 yref=53.6262 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.95 user 0.34 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/cmap_HighResolution_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=15.8787 yref=53.6262 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.97 user 0.37 sys 0.13 Computing Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 251005.041638 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0103.5+5337 Spectrum: LogParabola 202 norm: 3.262e+00 3.368e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 203 alpha: 1.627e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 204 beta: 1.134e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 205 Eb: 3.777e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 685 Prefactor: 9.698e-01 1.068e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 686 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 687 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 680 Normalization: 1.216e+00 5.986e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.57 Ra Dec: 15.879 53.626 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.63 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.02e-09 +/- 1.05e-09 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.58e-06 +/- 2.67e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 2.57 Ra Dec: 15.879 53.626 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.25244651088e-09 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.07993751191e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/13798220/likelihoodResults_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 251004.809134 delta logL = 0.232503924461 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 251004.751059 delta logL = 0.290578880085 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.0183 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .90095 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2157 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .96992 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 251004.8 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 69 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .41E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.0178 2.2109 .0000 -.27265 2 alpha .90008 .69529 .0000 -.24049E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2157 .55167E-01 .0000 .64663E-03 4 Prefactor .96992 .10174E-01 .0000 -.47868E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.01782 alpha = 0.900084 Normalizat = 1.21573 Prefactor = 0.969915 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 251004.8 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 265 TOTAL EDM= .78E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.0178 2.1930 .14564E-03 -1.5680 2 alpha .90008 .68821 .50000 -.69445 3 Normalizat 1.2157 .56855E-01 .61459E-03 -.86118 4 Prefactor .96992 .10542E-01 .12464E-03 -.93739 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.7623e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.19305 2 0.703855 3 0.0568578 4 0.0105418 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 251004.751059 delta logL = 0.290579548076 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0103.5+5337 Spectrum: LogParabola 202 norm: 2.018e+00 2.193e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 203 alpha: 9.001e-01 7.039e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 204 beta: 1.134e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 205 Eb: 3.777e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 685 Prefactor: 9.699e-01 1.054e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 686 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 687 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 680 Normalization: 1.216e+00 5.686e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.15 Ra Dec: 15.879 53.626 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.90 +/- 0.70 Photon Flux (Free Index): 3.63e-10 +/- 3.87e-10 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.95e-06 +/- 8.03e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -3.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 3.330e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/13798220/cmap_HighResolution_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.08e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.02e-09', energy_flux2='4.95e-06', photon_flux_error='1.05e-09', dlogl='2.91e-01', energy_flux='2.58e-06', photon_flux2='3.63e-10', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2025-10-15 23:48:13.465786', photon_index_error2='0.70', photon_index2='0.90', ts='2.57', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.97', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.25e-09', energy_flux_error2='8.03e-06', EG='1.22', time_epoch_completed='1760597293.47', return_code='0', job_id='13798220', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.22', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.67e-06', photon_flux_error2='3.87e-10', ts2='3.15', photon_index='1.63' WHERE bin_id='206' AND source_name='4FGL J0103.5+5337' AND cadence='monthly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Oct 15 23:48:13 PDT 2025 the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/Model_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 3 adding source W 3 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits.....................! real 1276.43 user 1268.32 sys 1.34 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/expmap_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/13800522/Model_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J0103.5+5337' 4FGL J0103.5+5337 Spectrum: LogParabola 202 norm: 5.238e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 203 alpha: 1.627e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 204 beta: 1.134e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 205 Eb: 3.777e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ft2_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/expmap_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/ltcube_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/Model_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 251005.643515 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 251005.041876 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .26346 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .44918 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .93421E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 11.333 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 2.4987 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 3.5659 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 1.9141 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 4.2375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 5.9972 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 3.2528 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 13.002 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .96568 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .16293E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .24414E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .98237 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .62145 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .96735 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 4.3060 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' 1.2158 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' .96981 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 251005.0 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 101 CALLS 1205 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .26336 .28446 .77358E-08 .32961E-01 2 Prefactor .44887 .45537 -.31979E-07 .14269E-02 3 Prefactor .10936E-07 28.153 -.74367E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 11.321 7.3957 .17507E-05 .12036E-02 5 norm 2.4987 .96495 .61549E-07 .27994E-01 6 Prefactor 3.6677 5.0259 .84873E-06 -.10337E-02 7 norm 1.9064 2.7075 .41797E-06 -.56083E-02 8 Prefactor 4.2384 2.4829 .67771E-07 -.27144E-01 9 norm 5.9965 1.3932 -.33755E-07 -.58920E-02 10 norm 3.2623 3.3607 -.65636E-07 -.91552E-02 11 norm 12.997 2.3209 .56034E-07 .12554E-01 12 norm .96605 .64865 .59745E-07 -.20094E-02 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.2830 .62505E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.9020 -.35015E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .98185 .56022 -.37432E-07 .41510E-01 16 norm .62151 .17857 .13789E-07 -.50181E-01 17 Prefactor .96743 .68262 -.15695E-07 -.19814E-01 18 norm 4.3061 1.7436 -.11604E-06 -.40976E-02 19 Normalizat 1.2156 .59688E-01 -.62289E-06 -.52455E-03 20 Prefactor .96983 .11110E-01 -.31989E-06 .21920E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.263363 Prefactor = 0.448866 Prefactor = 1.09357e-08 Prefactor = 11.3214 norm = 2.49874 Prefactor = 3.66769 norm = 1.90644 Prefactor = 4.23839 norm = 5.99654 norm = 3.26225 norm = 12.9968 norm = 0.966049 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0.981852 norm = 0.621509 Prefactor = 0.967426 norm = 4.30611 Normalizat = 1.21565 Prefactor = 0.969832 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 251005.0 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 359 CALLS 1564 TOTAL EDM= .45E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .26336 .24855 .47089E-02 -1.5698 2 Prefactor .44887 .37637 .76634E-02 -1.5695 3 Prefactor .10936E-07 .94270 .10249E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 11.321 7.3879 .29734E-03 -1.5641 5 norm 2.4987 .96663 .64627E-03 -1.5676 6 Prefactor 3.6677 5.0383 .53495E-03 -1.5670 7 norm 1.9064 2.7166 .75098E-03 -1.5680 8 Prefactor 4.2384 2.4933 .48925E-03 -1.5667 9 norm 5.9965 1.3949 .40978E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 3.2623 3.3684 .56130E-03 -1.5672 11 norm 12.997 2.3251 .27754E-03 -1.5636 12 norm .96605 .64957 .42547E-03 -1.5688 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.2814 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.9279 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .98185 .56205 .43140E-03 -1.5688 16 norm .62151 .18165 .67328E-03 -1.5692 17 Prefactor .96743 .68438 .42606E-03 -1.5688 18 norm 4.3061 1.7461 .48524E-03 -1.5666 19 Normalizat 1.2156 .59855E-01 .13838 -.86121 20 Prefactor .96983 .10681E-01 .28205E-01 -.93742 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.54367e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.24855 2 0.37637 3 0.000203309 4 7.38794 5 0.966628 6 5.0383 7 2.7166 8 2.4933 9 1.39495 10 3.36844 11 2.32507 12 0.649568 13 1.86514e-05 14 2.74522e-05 15 0.562048 16 0.18165 17 0.684375 18 1.74609 19 0.0598579 20 0.010681 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 251005.041638 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0103.5+5337 Spectrum: LogParabola 202 norm: 3.262e+00 3.368e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 203 alpha: 1.627e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 204 beta: 1.134e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 205 Eb: 3.777e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 685 Prefactor: 9.698e-01 1.068e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 686 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 687 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 680 Normalization: 1.216e+00 5.986e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 2.57 Ra Dec: 15.879 53.626 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 1.63 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.02e-09 +/- 1.05e-09 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 2.58e-06 +/- 2.67e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 2.57 Ra Dec: 15.879 53.626 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.25244651088e-09 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.07993751191e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/likelihoodResults_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 251004.809134 delta logL = 0.232503924461 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 251004.751059 delta logL = 0.290578880085 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.0183 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' .90095 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2157 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .96992 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 251004.8 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 69 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .41E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.0178 2.2109 .0000 -.27265 2 alpha .90008 .69529 .0000 -.24049E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2157 .55167E-01 .0000 .64663E-03 4 Prefactor .96992 .10174E-01 .0000 -.47868E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.01782 alpha = 0.900084 Normalizat = 1.21573 Prefactor = 0.969915 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 251004.8 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 265 TOTAL EDM= .78E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.0178 2.1930 .14564E-03 -1.5680 2 alpha .90008 .68821 .50000 -.69445 3 Normalizat 1.2157 .56855E-01 .61459E-03 -.86118 4 Prefactor .96992 .10542E-01 .12464E-03 -.93739 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.7623e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.19305 2 0.703855 3 0.0568578 4 0.0105418 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 251004.751059 delta logL = 0.290579548076 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J0103.5+5337 Spectrum: LogParabola 202 norm: 2.018e+00 2.193e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 203 alpha: 9.001e-01 7.039e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 204 beta: 1.134e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 205 Eb: 3.777e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 685 Prefactor: 9.699e-01 1.054e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 686 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 687 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 680 Normalization: 1.216e+00 5.686e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.15 Ra Dec: 15.879 53.626 Photon Index (Free Index): 0.90 +/- 0.70 Photon Flux (Free Index): 3.63e-10 +/- 3.87e-10 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.95e-06 +/- 8.03e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -3.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 3.330e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/13800522/cmap_HighResolution_770947201_773539201_4FGL_J0103.5+5337_monthly_bin206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.08e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.02e-09', energy_flux2='4.95e-06', photon_flux_error='1.05e-09', dlogl='2.91e-01', energy_flux='2.58e-06', photon_flux2='3.63e-10', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2025-10-16 01:07:45.815442', photon_index_error2='0.70', photon_index2='0.90', ts='2.57', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.97', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.25e-09', energy_flux_error2='8.03e-06', EG='1.22', time_epoch_completed='1760602065.82', return_code='0', job_id='13800522', GAL2='0.97', EG2='1.22', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.67e-06', photon_flux_error2='3.87e-10', ts2='3.15', photon_index='1.63' WHERE bin_id='206' AND source_name='4FGL J0103.5+5337' AND cadence='monthly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Oct 16 01:07:46 PDT 2025